近日，半岛·体育bob官方网站院长、中国经济研究中心主任张军教授的两本书《中国的高增长已到尽头?》和《中国的工资：经济学分析》（三卷本，主编），分别在Palgrave Macmillan和Enrich Professional Publishing出版，向全球发行。

《End of Hyper Growth in China?》

《中国的高增长已到尽头？》

Zhang Jun

Palgrave Macmillan US, 2016

摘 要In this book, Dr. Jun Zhang rebuts the widely-held view that Chinese economic growth is unsustainable due to low consumption and a reliance on exports and enormous fixed-asset investments. Though many believe this “structural imbalance” of the Chinese economy will become a serious problem in the long run, Zhang holds a bullish long-term outlook owing to China's long-term economic development.

For Zhang, China’s structural problems are greatly exaggerated and certain structures, such as regional governing entities, ensure that China will not face the same economic issues that Japan encountered. Through regional competition, regional governments will persevere; Zhang predicts that China will overtake the US as a superpower. Zhang concludes by acknowledging the real dangers facing China’s economy, and offering advice on the reforms needed to ensure continued growth.

在本书中，张军教授回应了一个被广泛持有的观点，该观点认为，由于中国的GDP过度依赖出口和固定资产投资，而消费所占比重较小，因此，中国的经济增长难以持续。尽管很多人坚信，长期来看，中国经济存在的结构性失调将会导致很严重的问题，但是考虑到中国长期的增长潜能和稳健的宏观基本面，张军教授对中国经济增长的前景依然看好。

张军教授认为，中国的结构性问题可能被严重夸大了。一些中国特有的体系结构，比如有韧性的经济体制和地方政府管理体系，将会使其不会面临和日本一样的问题。张军教授预测中国将会超过美国成为超级大国。本书的最后，张军教授总结了中国经济真正面临的问题，并提出了可以保持持续增长的改革意见。

《Wages in China: An Economic Analysis Volume 1,2and3》

《中国的工资：经济学分析》（三卷本）

Zhang Jun

Enrich Professional Publishing – 2015

摘 要

A major determinant of the primary distribution of national income, wages will have tremendous impacts on both social equity and economic efficiency in China. Wages in China: An Economic Analysis presents the latest research results on the transformation of China's wages formation mechanism since the adoption of the Reform and Opening Up policy. This 3-volume series looks at the impact from the institutional evolution of the wage system, social networks, and geographical factors on the determination of wages. After reviewing the history of China's wage policies and systematic transformation, the author examines the collective negotiation system as an example of institutional changes to explore the impacts on employees' wages, and does an empirical study on the shrinkage in labor's share of national income by using industrial and provincial data. Based on the discussion of local policy-making decisions under fiscal federalism in China, the author also analyzes the regional wage differences with economic geographical and regional policy variances. The perspective of inter-industrial wage spillover is also followed to explain the wage differences and convergence paradox.

作为国民收入初次分配的主要决定因素，工资将对中国的社会公平和经济效率产生巨大的影响。《中国的工资：经济学分析》代表了作者的研究团队对改革开放以来中国工资形成机制的最新研究成果。这三卷本著作回顾了工资的制度变迁、社会网络、地理因素对于工资的影响。在回顾中国工资政策和制度变迁的历史后，笔者以集体谈判制度为例，探讨了制度变迁对劳动者工资的影响，并通过产业数据和各省数据实证研究了劳动者工资收入占国民收入份额的收缩。基于中国财政联邦主义下的地方决策的探讨，笔者还分析了经济地理区间的工资差异和区域政策差异。产业间的工资溢出的观点也随之解释了工资差异和收敛悖论。